Airdrops remain a cornerstone of crypto growth, distributing billions in tokens to bootstrap ecosystems and reward early engagement. As 2025 closes with Layer 2 scaling and DePIN traction, 2026 forecasts point to $1.5 billion+ in value, up 25% from 2025 fueled by post-halving altseason and regulatory clarity. Layer 2 interoperability, DePIN hardware networks, and RWA tokenization lead the pack, with projects like LayerZero S2 and Peaq S2 offering structured points systems for verifiable contributions.

This guide highlights high-probability drops (60-85% odds per Polymarket/Dune), eligibility steps, and potential payouts. Focus on on-chain activity, sybil filters are stricter, favoring genuine users over farms.

Why 2026 Is Shaping Up To Be a Major Year for Airdrops

With the 2025 $1.2 billion distributions (such as GRASS’s 100M tokens to 1.5M wallets), the focus of airdrops changed from hype to utility-driven rewards following the 2024 halving. Bull forecasts for 2026, Bitcoin at $120,000+ increase alt liquidity, attracting $3.4 billion in Q3 2025 funding to RWA, DePIN, and L2s. Themes to expect include asset tokenization (Plume), decentralized hardware (Peaq), and interoperability (LayerZero).

Total value is $1.5B+, per CoinStats, with 2M+ addresses claiming. DePIN/RWA rise. Meanwhile, Governments eye tokenized infrastructure; AI data needs privacy proofs. Risks: Stricter verification excludes bots, but rewards favor builders, $100K+ for top participants.

Projects With the Highest Probability of Launching Airdrops

Curated from funding, testnets, and CT signals, probabilities via Polymarket/Dune (60-85%).

  1. LayerZero (Season 2) – Probability: 70% Cross-chain protocol, $173M raised. S2 rewards bridgers post-V2 Q1 launch. Eligibility: Bridge via Stargate, testnet swaps. Potential: 10-20% supply ($100K+ for high-volume), FDV $2B+.
  2. Peaq (Get Real Season 2) – Probability: 80% DePIN L1 for IoT, $15M funded. S2 Q1 2026 for node runners. Eligibility: Deploy hardware, quests on peaq portal. Potential: $40M rewards + subsidies ($5K+ active), hardware-verified.
  3. Plume Network (RWA Drop) – Probability: 75% EVM RWA chain, $20M raised. Q2 drop for tokenizers. Eligibility: Bridge assets, testnet modules, stake PLUME. Potential: 15% supply ($50K+ LPs), compliant RWAs.
  4. Movement (L2 Airdrop) – Probability: 65% MoveVM L2, $38M funded. Q2 for bridge users. Eligibility: Cross-chain swaps, liquidity provision. Potential: $25M ($10K+ bridgers), $500M FDV.
  5. Jupiter (Jupuary 2026) – Probability: 75% Solana DEX, Season 3 for stakers. Eligibility: Trade/swap on Jupiter, stake JUP. Potential: 200M JUP ($20K+ volume), Solana DEX rewards.
  6. Grass (DePIN Expansion) – Probability: 85% Bandwidth-sharing DePIN, post-2025 drop. Q1 2026 for node runners. Eligibility: Share bandwidth via app. Potential: 100M GRASS ($10K+ active), AI data marketplace.
  7. Sahara AI (DePIN/AI) – Probability: 70% AI DePIN, testnet live. Rewards for data contributors. Eligibility: Run nodes, quests. Potential: $30M ($5K+ participants), AI verification.
  8. Miden (Polygon AggLayer) – Probability: 60% Ethereum L2, 10% supply drop. Eligibility: Stake POL, testnet. Potential: $20M, RWA/DeFi focus.
  9. Tea-Fi (SocialFi) – Probability: 65% Social token platform, points for engagement. Eligibility: Post/interact, quests. Potential: 15-30x ($10K+ creators), SocialFi hype.
  10. Remittix (RWA Payments) – Probability: 55% RWA remittance, presale rewards. Eligibility: Test transfers, stake. Potential: $15M, tokenized payments.

Early User Actions That Increase Airdrop Eligibility

Maximize odds with verifiable engagement, sybil AI detects farms.

  1. Testnet Quests: Complete tasks on LayerZero/Peaq portals—earns convertible points.
  2. Liquidity/Staking: Provide on DEXs (Jupiter, Plume)—tracks volume for shares.
  3. Node Running: Deploy hardware for DePIN (Grass, Sahara)—hardware-proofed.
  4. Bridging/Swaps: Cross-chain via Movement/LayerZero—proves utility.
  5. Social Engagement: Discord/Telegram quests (Tea-Fi, Remittix)—off-chain boosts.
  6. Presale Participation: Buy/stake in Tapzi-like early rounds—bonus multipliers.
  7. Wallet Activity: Daily interactions via MetaMask—builds history.

To avoid flags, use a single wallet and track using DropsTab or CoinGecko.

How Much These Airdrops Could Potentially Pay

Payouts vary according to activity; top farmers receive $10K to $100K, while average payouts range from $100 to $5K. based on 2025 precedents (GRASS: wallets with $10 million to 1.5 million).

  • LayerZero S2: $100K+ bridgers (10% supply, $2B FDV).
  • Peaq S2: $5K+ node runners ($40M + subsidies).
  • Plume: $50K LPs (15% supply, compliant RWAs).
  • Movement: $10K cross-chain ($25M).
  • Jupiter Jupuary: $20K volume traders (200M JUP).
  • Grass Expansion: $10K active nodes (100M GRASS).
  • Sahara AI: $5K data contributors ($30M).
  • Miden: $20M POL stakers (10% supply).
  • Tea-Fi: $10K creators (15-30x SocialFi).
  • Remittix: $15M payments testers.

Total: $1.5B+—diversify 3-5 for $10K+ haul.

Networks Expected To Launch Large-Scale Rewards

L2s/DePIN/RWA dominate 2026 rewards, EVM/Solana heavy.

  • Layer 2s/Interoperability: LayerZero, Movement—bridging rewards (70% odds).
  • DePIN: Peaq, Grass, Sahara—node/hardware (80%+).
  • RWA: Plume, Remittix—tokenization quests (75%).
  • Social/Gaming: Tea-Fi—engagement drops (65%).
  • Wallets/DEXs: Jupiter—activity-based (Q1 focus).

EVM: 60% drops; Solana: 25% speed plays.

Conclusion

Crypto airdrops 2026 is much about LayerZero S2, Peaq S2, Plume that could altogether distribute $1.5B, rewarding testnets farmers, stakers, nodes providers. Early actions yield $100-$100K; DePIN/RWA surge adds utility. In bull cycles, drops bootstrap winners, position across L2/DePIN for 100x.

For more airdrop guides, visit our Airdrop Hub.

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